Probability Theory, Christmas Time, Stochastic Theory, Gamification and

I received a lovely story from someone on face book that mixes the Xmas spirit, with game theory, animal rights, quantum physics I added a sarcastic video just to dumb it down a bit for those who don’t want to think too much during the holiday season.


The story is meant to be an inspiration story but it actually addresses the concepts I use in gamification and applied game theory.  Much success is not based on what will succeed but rather on doing what needs to be done and recognizing that there are many improbabilities that might arise. In my work as a Futurist, gamification expert and problem solver I often apply ideas related to Butterfly Affect, Black Swan Theory and  Goldrait’s Bottleneck Theory as well as  Stochastic Theory to estimate what, when and how something is likely to happen.


I discuss this in great depth in my new Course on Success, Personal Development and Human Potential. Learn more about the course at Look to the list of pages on the right side of the screen and click on “Course on Success, Personal Development and Human Potential.”

Enjoy the story.


Of course if you are  a cynic concerning the holiday season and dismiss inspirational stories, even those based on game theory here is Santa Lewis’s gift to you, the Chanukah miracle  of a sarcastic, cynical, funny holiday video.

You can unwrap it and watch it  now and then over and over again until Xmas.



Now here is the inspirational story…..

Lewis on “Santa, Probability Theory, Gamification and the Pregnant Rain Deer Scenario”

In a remote forest, a pregnant deer is about to give birth to a baby. It finds a remote grass field near by a river and slowly goes there thinking it would be safe.
As she moves slowly, she gets labor pain. At the same moment, dark clouds gather around that area and lightning starts a forest fire.
Turning left she sees a hunter who is aiming an arrow from a distance. As she tries to move towards right, she spots a hungry lion approaching towards her…..

What can the pregnant deer do as she is already under labor pain?
What do you think will happen? Will the deer survive? Will it give birth to a fawn?

Will the fawn survive? OR Will everything be burnt by the forest fire?
That particular moment?

Can the deer go left? Hunter’s arrow is pointing!
Can she go right? Hungry male lion approaching!
Can she move up? Forest fire!
Can she move down? Fierce River!

What does the deer do? Answer: She does nothing. She just focuses on giving birth to a new LIFE!

The sequence of events that happens at that fraction of a second (moment) are as follows:

In a spur of a MOMENT, a lightning strikes (as it was cloudy) and the brightness blinds the eyes of the Hunter. At that very MOMENT, he releases the arrow missing and zipping past the deer. The arrow hits and injures the lion badly. At that very MOMENT, it starts to rain heavily and puts out the forest fire. And the next MOMENT, the deer gives birth to a healthy fawn.

Similarly in our life, in our MOMENTS of TRIAL, we have to deal with such negative thoughts from all sides. Some thoughts are so powerful that they can overpower us and makes us weak and clueless.

Let’s not decide anything in a hurry. Let’s think of ourselves as the pregnant deer completely focused on the current action.

Anything can happen in a MOMENT in our life. We all go through Moments of trial like the pregnant deer. And if like the pregnant deer we stay focused on the task at hand as a priority of that given moment without getting distracted by negative thoughts, we give ourselves a fair chance to succeed!

Hence, whether you are Deer or a Human, keep that Faith and Hope within and stay focussed on the task at hand!

You may be Religious, Superstitious, Atheist or Agnostic and you can attribute this MOMENT to…as Divine Intervention, Miracle, Faith, Sudden stroke of Luck, Karma, Chance (Serendipity), Coincidence or a Simply I don’t know’.


P.S. If you have been nice rather than naughty, are Christian, believe in fairy tales and have a big chimney there is a good chance Santa will bring you a gift.

Ho, Ho  whatever……

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